Time Principles Theory is the application of the Law of Vibration, a central concept in W.D. Gann’s work. To understand this theory, one must first be familiar with the Law of Vibration—an immutable natural principle observable throughout the universe. Everything in the universe vibrates at a specific frequency. These vibrations […]
Investment/Trade
Kelly Formula : Find the Optimal Bet of Your Investment
The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula to determine the optimal fraction of one’s assets to allocate to a bet or investment. It’s designed to maximize the long-term growth rate of wealth by considering the probability of winning and the potential return or loss. Purpose The Kelly Criterion aims to […]
Death Cross in S&P 500
The S&P 500 created a Death Cross today. The S&P 500 index representing the U.S. economy started dropping since it topped on February 19, 2025, and hit its lowest bottom at $4,820 and bounced back rapidly. This drop was recorded as 21% dropping from the all-time high of $6,120. A […]
Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Spread on S&P 500
In late February, the Bloomberg High Yield Index Option Adjusted Spread (OAS) over U.S. Treasuries stood at 2.56%, hitting the narrowest level in history. The narrowest level seems to have been witnessed before the notorious recessions occurred in 1999, 2007, and 2019. The early 2000s recession, which ended in November […]
Quotes of Jesse Livemore, GOAT Trader
Livermore quotes, from the man who made $100,000,000 in 1929, and had lost it all by 1934. 1. “Money is made by sitting, not trading.” 2. “It takes time to make money.” 3. “It was never my thinking that made the big money for me, it always was sitting.” 4. […]
19 Trading Rules
Master the 19 trading rules to enter and exit your transactions confidently no matter what market condition you are in to maintain your portfolio performance. Exit Smart with Big Positions – When you are trading large sizes, you need to exit when the market allows, not when you want to […]
The Parable of the Talents (Matthew 25:14-30)
” 14 “Again, it will be like a man going on a journey, who called his servants and entrusted his wealth to them. 15 To one he gave five bags of gold, to another two bags, and to another one bag,[a] each according to his ability. Then he went on his journey. 16 The man who had received […]
The Edge : The Discrepancy of Inefficiencies From Efficiencies
The market is efficient based on the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), which is described as follows: “Asset prices in financial markets fully reflect all available information at any given time, thus, it is impossible to consistently achieve higher-than-average returns through stock picking or market timing, as prices adjust almost instantly […]
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield
The Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Index (also known as the Bloomberg High Yield Bond Index) is a widely followed benchmark that tracks the performance of below-investment-grade (junk) corporate bonds issued in the U.S. dollar-denominated market. What It Consists Of: Eligible Bonds: Credit Rating: Bonds rated Ba1/BB+ or lower by Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch (i.e., non-investment grade). Currency: U.S. […]
POI (O: unknown) Stock Performance Nov 2024
I have several stocks diversified over different industries in my portfolio although my diversification is very limited and should be called “focus investment”. Diversification works, achieving satisfactory results over the long term by reducing risks, as described in the book “The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham”. He emphasizes the importance […]